shingoWAKAYAMA

@shingoWAKAYAMA

#3,060,94330

0x4e4203102fd7bde55ce1bcf9f1ef222e251949ed

~101d· 204 markets · 4269 tradesVol: $2,977,8192026-08-02 08:54:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (104/190)12.4/20
0.77x (win $135,012 / loss $176,221)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6450/15
Sortino -1.9010/10
$-0.0642 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 215 (190 markets)10/10
41/69 profitable days (59%)7.4/10
Max DD 319% of peak ($60,032 / $18,824)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 20.5 entries/market
Whale
$641,856 invested
High Roller
$5,135/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,880,037$-27,233Vol: $1,511,465
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,361$-16,566Vol: $1,043,616
💰 FINANCE#656,316$-3,922Vol: $125,997
📈 ECONOMICS#206$34,272Vol: $120,855
🎭 CULTURE#1,523$5,179Vol: $73,865
💻 TECH#258,148$-9,164Vol: $70,734
🌤️ WEATHER#947$1,988Vol: $30,281
CRYPTO#879,306$-1Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-15,497
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,977,819
Total Redeem
$15,573
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
204
total markets
Trades
2701B / 1568S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$2,043
Vol: $0
Month
$53
Vol: $0
All Time
$-15,497
Vol: $2,977,819

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
104W / 86L events
Realized PnL
$-15,497
Win Rate
55%
104W / 86L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$1,298
Avg Loss
$-2,123

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,923 (2.3180208799143585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$15,501
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$11,489
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$8,932
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$8,387
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$7,189
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$5,977
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$5,553
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$4,061
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4,041
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$3,905

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-29,164
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-17,198
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-14,844
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11,535
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-7,300
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$-6,748
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$-6,745
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-6,316
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-5,211
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-5,107

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.076
HHI
147
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
16.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.9m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 3.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock34 trades/day — high frequency1.6 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.2%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)54.9%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 4:36:43 PM16 trades$41,6176 min
7/15/2026, 8:30:32 PM59 trades$23,29910 min
7/7/2026, 4:03:02 PM3 trades$17,7040 min
6/20/2026, 8:51:01 AM26 trades$17,0800 min
4/29/2026, 2:26:02 PM14 trades$17,0501 min
5/5/2026, 5:37:54 AM2 trades$13,9860 min
6/22/2026, 12:29:22 PM11 trades$13,2372 min
6/23/2026, 3:24:34 PM16 trades$12,0371 min
4/12/2026, 2:27:37 PM26 trades$11,95728 min
7/12/2026, 1:48:14 PM18 trades$11,3001 min
6/22/2026, 12:51:08 PM9 trades$11,1591 min
7/12/2026, 5:33:32 PM1 trades$9,4700 min
5/24/2026, 1:05:12 PM44 trades$9,2629 min
4/16/2026, 4:15:40 PM31 trades$8,7947 min
5/31/2026, 4:15:16 PM7 trades$8,62614 min
4/29/2026, 2:33:52 PM18 trades$8,4434 min
6/26/2026, 2:04:17 AM49 trades$8,4269 min
4/29/2026, 4:11:08 PM11 trades$8,0084 min
6/20/2026, 2:42:32 PM12 trades$7,7344 min
5/23/2026, 9:54:36 PM1 trades$7,6000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-19
04-11
04-29
05-25
06-06
06-29
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.2 / M17.9 / H54.9