@smartfire
#3,038,710280x8c06f711eb807916152ae1cb8dcaccc2775eb98a
~68d· 264 markets · 2399 tradesVol: $444,2282026-08-02 08:50:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (145/259)13/20
0.60x (win $32,491 / loss $53,889)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7100/15
Sortino -5.0990/10
$-0.1379 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 202 (259 markets)10/10
28/57 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 1046% of peak ($23,807 / $2,277)0/10
Badges
5DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Whale
$155,131 invested
High Roller
$1,492/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,613,606$-1,022Vol: $183,104
⚽ SPORTS#1,854,000$-2,082Vol: $93,370
₿ CRYPTO#1,104,362$-8Vol: $39,650
📈 ECONOMICS#672,609$-350Vol: $14,296
💰 FINANCE#650,773$-657Vol: $7,138
🌤️ WEATHER#255,426$-16Vol: $301
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,926
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$444,228
Total Redeem
$6,996
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
264
total markets
Trades
1205B / 1194S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-13
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,926
Vol: $444,228
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
145W / 114L events
Realized PnL
$-4,926
Win Rate
56%
145W / 114L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$224
Avg Loss
$-481
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,531 (1.3258171055756633% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2,468
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,263
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1,800
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,667
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1,545
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1,379
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$1,377
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?$1,195
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$933
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$647
Top Losers
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-8,360
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-7,368
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-5,824
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$-3,456
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-2,000
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,759
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,693
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-1,672
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-1,224
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$-1,014
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.244
Sortino
-0.237
HHI
171
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.149
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
23.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.4m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.4
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency2.5 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.81
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)68%
Sessions
#126/13/2026, 1:08:19 AM45 trades$11,75713 min
4/3/2026, 3:41:51 PM26 trades$7,51015 min
6/15/2026, 5:48:06 PM36 trades$7,1976 min
6/15/2026, 8:48:52 PM37 trades$6,2185 min
4/5/2026, 11:51:37 AM6 trades$5,7205 min
6/5/2026, 6:53:10 PM21 trades$5,5041 min
5/16/2026, 3:06:17 PM15 trades$4,6253 min
6/15/2026, 1:43:39 PM4 trades$4,4570 min
5/3/2026, 1:38:20 PM14 trades$4,4214 min
4/7/2026, 10:07:51 PM31 trades$4,3888 min
4/1/2026, 3:21:45 PM15 trades$4,3791 min
4/3/2026, 7:44:49 PM12 trades$3,83110 min
4/28/2026, 5:15:16 PM19 trades$3,7842 min
6/4/2026, 12:29:30 AM2 trades$3,2500 min
6/12/2026, 6:13:46 AM2 trades$3,1800 min
4/3/2026, 2:54:17 PM25 trades$3,08117 min
5/31/2026, 1:14:49 PM4 trades$2,9052 min
4/4/2026, 10:59:39 PM22 trades$2,9005 min
4/3/2026, 8:05:49 PM29 trades$2,89411 min
6/7/2026, 7:57:19 PM6 trades$2,8667 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
04-07
04-19
05-04
05-20
06-14
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 84 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.3 / M20.7 / H68