@studmuffin6969

82

0xa8af4c7923857533b687df9bf02115156e3a325e

~724d· 1928 markets · 55167 trades2026-08-02 09:51:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (1106/1850)14.9/20
1.86x (win $406,349 / loss $218,315)13.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.36015/15
Sortino 6.38010/10
$+0.0271 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 55 (1850 markets)10/10
303/500 profitable days (61%)7.6/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($18,310 / $202,735)10/10

Badges

10
Profitable
PnL $+132,490
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 28.6 entries/market
Whale
$6,948,619 invested
Consistent
303/500 profitable days
High Roller
$9,071/day
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$132,490
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,948,619
Total Redeem
$66,852
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1928
total markets
Trades
39216B / 15951S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~724d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
1106W / 744L events
Realized PnL
$132,490
Win Rate
60%
1106W / 744L
Profit Factor
1.86x
Avg Win
$367
Avg Loss
$-302

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150,046 (1.1325055449308847% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$107,268
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$35,104
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7,674
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$7,550
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?$6,887
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5,279
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5,115
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$4,743
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?$4,336
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$4,197

Top Losers

Rams vs. Seahawks$-14,730
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-9,390
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?$-8,826
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-8,047
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-6,984
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-5,179
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-5,041
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?$-4,757
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$-4,568
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$-4,500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.071
Sortino
0.227
HHI
44
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
8.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
72.0
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
23 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 3.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock72 trades/day — mass trading2.5 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.59
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.6%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)50.6%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 6:36:31 AM48 trades$76,77636 min
4/7/2026, 7:53:47 PM54 trades$66,43713 min
7/3/2025, 4:41:03 PM6 trades$62,8977 min
1/29/2026, 6:33:02 PM103 trades$55,34383 min
3/1/2026, 8:13:53 AM79 trades$52,52867 min
7/8/2026, 8:54:28 AM16 trades$49,3610 min
7/16/2026, 7:29:58 AM10 trades$48,4400 min
3/17/2026, 6:11:51 PM19 trades$48,30022 min
11/13/2024, 12:44:43 PM28 trades$40,84423 min
7/2/2025, 6:13:57 PM16 trades$40,3528 min
1/26/2026, 2:49:42 AM28 trades$39,05818 min
4/1/2026, 10:01:09 PM4 trades$38,4284 min
6/14/2026, 10:31:55 PM66 trades$31,10421 min
2/22/2026, 3:25:22 AM16 trades$30,01712 min
4/15/2026, 9:23:52 PM37 trades$29,51810 min
2/1/2026, 11:33:44 PM39 trades$29,14642 min
1/30/2026, 10:23:16 AM57 trades$28,69121 min
4/27/2026, 6:54:10 AM7 trades$27,4404 min
1/24/2026, 12:05:16 AM135 trades$26,78299 min
3/5/2026, 3:21:27 AM12 trades$26,57213 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-19
01-19
05-23
09-19
12-28
03-23
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35.6 / M13.8 / H50.6