thorai

@thorai

#3,069,42635

0xefa3ba00c7495a9b4b2b46aa0d21a8023e8ed08b

~119d· 365 markets · 7728 tradesVol: $10,342,9022026-08-02 09:50:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (225/354)16.8/20
0.91x (win $159,241 / loss $175,663)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6570/15
Sortino -0.9040/10
$-0.0265 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 178 (354 markets)10/10
48/86 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 158% of peak ($49,944 / $31,578)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 20.8 entries/market
Whale
$619,873 invested
High Roller
$3,850/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,881,667$-71,869Vol: $10,329,840
🏛️ POLITICS#64,884$98Vol: $13,062

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-71,771
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,342,902
Total Redeem
$4,751
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
365
total markets
Trades
4471B / 3257S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~119d

Periods

#2
Today
$-67
Vol: $68
Week
$-574
Vol: $68
Month
$-617
Vol: $10,229
All Time
$-71,771
Vol: $10,342,902

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
225W / 129L events
Realized PnL
$-71,692
Win Rate
64%
225W / 129L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$708
Avg Loss
$-1,464

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,346 (0.590661350945032% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$29,598
Spurs vs. Knicks$6,981
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$5,767
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5,264
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,749
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$4,325
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,314
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$3,331
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$3,160
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,990

Top Losers

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-25,626
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-19,061
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-11,743
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$-9,514
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-03-28?$-4,662
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,601
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-4,209
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$-3,926
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners$-3,846
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-3,780

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.036
HHI
111
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
16.0%
Half-Kelly
8.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
16.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
48.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.8m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock48 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.84
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.9%
Mid (20-55c)16.3%
High (>55c)50.7%

Sessions

#12
5/21/2026, 9:09:18 PM173 trades$27,7412 min
5/21/2026, 9:18:11 PM110 trades$26,3752 min
6/14/2026, 6:42:19 AM43 trades$26,0537 min
6/12/2026, 12:12:10 PM25 trades$25,6424 min
5/11/2026, 5:53:28 AM77 trades$15,3973 min
6/10/2026, 2:15:00 PM65 trades$13,2468 min
3/1/2026, 4:16:13 AM64 trades$12,7515 min
6/23/2026, 10:12:56 AM39 trades$11,73622 min
6/14/2026, 7:43:39 AM43 trades$10,43615 min
6/15/2026, 2:30:57 AM35 trades$9,7872 min
6/18/2026, 3:13:41 AM27 trades$9,6228 min
6/15/2026, 6:11:46 PM62 trades$8,8985 min
6/14/2026, 3:37:30 AM51 trades$8,2142 min
6/17/2026, 4:09:40 AM8 trades$8,1353 min
6/18/2026, 1:42:19 PM21 trades$8,0195 min
2/27/2026, 6:51:53 PM27 trades$7,8426 min
3/29/2026, 3:00:32 AM6 trades$7,6932 min
5/25/2026, 5:08:38 AM15 trades$6,8635 min
3/1/2026, 12:35:21 AM3 trades$6,8554 min
2/26/2026, 1:46:44 AM1 trades$6,7800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-23
03-11
03-30
05-22
06-07
06-23
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.9 / M16.3 / H50.7