thx4playing

@thx4playing

#13,85965

0xe8278d22bef444ede84505b7c0ec4e4001305209

~321d· 2193 markets · 25891 tradesVol: $4,034,984 @matthewceoo2026-08-02 07:15:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (1199/2157)12.8/20
1.22x (win $261,285 / loss $214,831)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.05015/15
Sortino 1.88610/10
$+0.0395 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 81 (2157 markets)10/10
135/276 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 41% of peak ($30,009 / $72,739)5.7/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+10,511
Contrarian
77% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.8 entries/market
Whale
$1,174,767 invested
High Roller
$1,518/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#5,777$5,707Vol: $1,133,405
CRYPTO#1,612,652$-948Vol: $1,089,100
SPORTS#1,854,972$-2,151Vol: $896,981
🎭 CULTURE#803,537$-427Vol: $258,932
💰 FINANCE#2,408$1,943Vol: $194,006
💻 TECH#582$2,985Vol: $192,786
📢 MENTIONS#983$1,383Vol: $140,994
📈 ECONOMICS#2,253$1,621Vol: $106,944
🌤️ WEATHER#7,607$87Vol: $1,849

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,626
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,034,984
Total Redeem
$33,471
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2193
total markets
Trades
19685B / 6206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~321d

Periods

#2
Today
$654
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,104
Vol: $0
Month
$-394
Vol: $4,850
All Time
$10,626
Vol: $4,034,984

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
1199W / 958L events
Realized PnL
$10,511
Win Rate
56%
1199W / 958L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$218
Avg Loss
$-227

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,458 (5.085969966358669% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$29,446
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$12,993
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11,019
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?$10,440
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$8,727
Knicks vs. Spurs$6,266
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$5,794
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$5,683
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$5,423
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$4,200

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Knicks$-19,593
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-15,861
Spurs vs. Knicks$-4,830
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-4,736
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-4,634
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-3,976
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-3,735
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-3,090
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$-3,071
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,895

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.055
Sortino
0.076
HHI
70
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
12.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
30.8m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 6.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency2.8 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.82
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.1%
Mid (20-55c)60.9%
High (>55c)23%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 10:47:20 PM2 trades$33,8550 min
5/30/2026, 6:12:16 PM20 trades$29,58410 min
6/8/2026, 1:36:12 AM21 trades$25,7927 min
6/3/2026, 7:52:18 PM23 trades$20,4561 min
7/7/2026, 7:28:46 PM12 trades$19,7112 min
6/28/2026, 8:01:08 PM4 trades$19,1522 min
6/8/2026, 12:03:37 PM1 trades$18,9810 min
6/24/2026, 11:40:19 PM2 trades$17,7561 min
7/7/2026, 7:40:20 PM1 trades$16,9660 min
7/29/2026, 5:55:00 PM5 trades$12,3906 min
5/22/2026, 12:58:38 AM32 trades$12,33110 min
6/1/2026, 4:56:18 PM17 trades$12,1126 min
6/9/2026, 5:04:15 PM6 trades$10,8450 min
6/13/2026, 10:13:16 PM41 trades$10,25223 min
7/3/2026, 9:01:34 PM1 trades$8,9910 min
6/9/2026, 2:14:03 AM29 trades$8,5687 min
5/17/2026, 1:45:05 PM10 trades$8,55210 min
7/30/2026, 10:02:05 PM12 trades$7,6843 min
6/27/2026, 1:59:16 AM13 trades$7,38711 min
12/20/2025, 5:15:16 AM13 trades$7,2456 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
10-22
12-11
02-12
04-11
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.82/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.1 / M60.9 / H23