@turtle123

71

0x4fff3c11a5d9b77822e01792f933cdb28557be78

~451d· 1001 markets · 10158 trades2026-08-02 09:47:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (693/960)20/20
1.23x (win $123,256 / loss $99,988)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.97815/15
Sortino 1.45310/10
$+0.0204 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 82 (960 markets)10/10
245/341 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 71% of peak ($16,722 / $23,481)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+23,476
DCA Master
Avg 8.1 entries/market
Whale
$1,138,949 invested
Consistent
245/341 profitable days
High Roller
$1,774/day
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23,476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,138,949
Total Redeem
$28,409
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1001
total markets
Trades
5744B / 4414S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~451d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
693W / 267L events
Realized PnL
$23,476
Win Rate
72%
693W / 267L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$178
Avg Loss
$-400

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,799 (1.098958446483165% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10,158
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8,142
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$7,499
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?$3,070
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,751
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$2,346
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,280
Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?$2,230
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$2,113
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1,848

Top Losers

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-10,005
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?$-5,644
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-5,597
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-5,157
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$-4,378
TikTok on App Store again before March?$-4,230
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? $-3,663
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-3,177
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?$-3,138
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-3,039

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.051
Sortino
0.046
HHI
62
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
5.9%
Half-Kelly
3.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
10.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.4m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 2.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.08
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.3%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)66.1%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 12:34:10 PM36 trades$20,0715 min
12/21/2024, 1:25:54 AM1 trades$13,7580 min
12/21/2024, 5:40:46 AM1 trades$13,5170 min
7/29/2026, 3:55:38 PM29 trades$11,85310 min
12/22/2024, 3:45:12 AM1 trades$10,8140 min
2/20/2026, 11:30:36 PM17 trades$10,20937 min
12/22/2024, 3:06:32 AM2 trades$9,6891 min
4/6/2026, 5:13:45 AM5 trades$9,4910 min
6/12/2026, 3:47:04 PM10 trades$9,0080 min
12/23/2024, 6:32:22 AM4 trades$8,8995 min
2/23/2026, 6:15:40 PM10 trades$8,2994 min
12/18/2024, 10:32:25 AM6 trades$8,1826 min
7/7/2026, 7:43:34 PM4 trades$8,0131 min
4/6/2026, 5:36:21 AM1 trades$7,7220 min
7/27/2026, 1:40:58 PM41 trades$7,64515 min
6/11/2026, 4:35:48 PM2 trades$7,2000 min
7/29/2026, 3:03:44 PM19 trades$7,13113 min
2/18/2026, 4:02:50 PM15 trades$7,1306 min
2/26/2026, 4:24:22 PM2 trades$7,0033 min
11/27/2024, 6:35:42 AM7 trades$6,3475 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
01-27
08-14
12-04
03-13
05-17
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.3 / M9.7 / H66.1