@vainglorious87

#3,066,87040

0x6e031ff76916136e18ff1d2f0fbabd9a7f45dd32

~161d· 174 markets · 708 tradesVol: $1,075,5872026-08-02 07:17:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (123/170)20/20
0.55x (win $44,645 / loss $80,466)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7860/15
Sortino -1.8350/10
$-0.0562 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 482 (170 markets)10/10
72/105 profitable days (69%)9.6/10
Max DD 414% of peak ($47,985 / $11,595)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Whale
$637,797 invested
Consistent
72/105 profitable days
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,531$-1,696Vol: $472,302
🎭 CULTURE#814,923$-4,323Vol: $205,960
🌤️ WEATHER#298,805$-33,784Vol: $160,929
💰 FINANCE#655,200$-2,051Vol: $51,805
CRYPTO#16,905$2,571Vol: $36,164
SPORTS#1,844,608$-1,573Vol: $13,979
📢 MENTIONS#174,258$-777Vol: $7,720
💻 TECH#253,530$-291Vol: $6,956

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35,323
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,075,587
Total Redeem
$3,480
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
174
total markets
Trades
559B / 149S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~161d

Periods

#2
Today
$26
Vol: $0
Week
$27
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-35,323
Vol: $1,075,587

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
123W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-35,325
Win Rate
72%
123W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$363
Avg Loss
$-1,712

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,863 (0.3641186883105597% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?$6,047
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?$4,067
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$2,749
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$2,640
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?$2,541
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$2,416
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,815
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March?$1,681
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?$1,539
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?$1,388

Top Losers

Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)$-33,932
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-9,086
Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?$-7,584
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?$-6,722
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?$-4,542
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?$-2,447
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023?$-1,997
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays$-1,994
Did MrBeast's Twitter post with over 124m views make between $0 and $5k?$-1,369
Did MrBeast's Twitter post with over 124m views make over $15k?$-1,170

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.093
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
375
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
33.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)77.5%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2023, 1:50:50 AM4 trades$39,6421 min
6/22/2023, 6:59:18 PM8 trades$27,7969 min
2/21/2023, 4:50:51 AM4 trades$27,2272 min
1/10/2024, 9:08:36 PM32 trades$23,90111 min
10/19/2024, 3:41:26 AM6 trades$18,7106 min
9/15/2023, 1:25:54 PM5 trades$17,1497 min
1/20/2024, 8:57:27 PM4 trades$15,8053 min
10/2/2023, 8:44:11 PM18 trades$15,79415 min
6/7/2024, 9:10:58 PM12 trades$13,4684 min
5/14/2023, 10:53:43 PM1 trades$12,3730 min
6/23/2023, 5:26:45 AM4 trades$11,4742 min
7/21/2024, 12:10:11 AM10 trades$10,2597 min
7/3/2023, 8:04:18 AM3 trades$10,1724 min
2/3/2024, 8:26:41 AM2 trades$10,0874 min
6/22/2023, 7:41:16 PM2 trades$9,8841 min
6/27/2023, 3:09:50 AM2 trades$9,8471 min
2/16/2024, 5:11:18 PM4 trades$9,8077 min
2/2/2024, 6:38:47 PM3 trades$9,5174 min
6/27/2023, 11:22:59 PM6 trades$9,3433 min
5/4/2024, 1:58:51 PM1 trades$8,8760 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
11-06
01-08
06-12
10-25
03-06
04-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 653 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.5 / M13.1 / H77.5