@whalesticks

#119,28240

0x4d9c68622424e67e3151f50ef034a3893f2b8824

~165d· 4897 markets · 14236 tradesVol: $2,111,7422026-08-02 09:51:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (4316/4896)20/20
0.20x (win $19,015 / loss $95,268)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2630/15
Sortino -4.2410/10
$-0.0613 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (4896 markets)10/10
121/165 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 968% of peak ($85,063 / $8,786)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+468
Whale
$1,242,990 invested
Consistent
121/165 profitable days
High Roller
$5,452/day
Win Streak
53 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#8,338$5,822Vol: $1,445,704
SPORTS#1,870,140$-4,891Vol: $573,912
🌤️ WEATHER#224,722$-4Vol: $79,658
💰 FINANCE#648,386$-479Vol: $10,084
📢 MENTIONS#28,596$4Vol: $1,391
🎭 CULTURE#137,506$2Vol: $221
🏛️ POLITICS#261,436$3Vol: $168
💻 TECH#31,972$3Vol: $101

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$468
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,111,742
Total Redeem
$211,040
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4897
total markets
Trades
11013B / 3223S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~165d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $35
Week
$-10
Vol: $35
Month
$1
Vol: $211
All Time
$468
Vol: $2,111,742

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
4316W / 580L events
Realized PnL
$468
Win Rate
88%
4316W / 580L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-243

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,133 (10.963307846738713% of PnL)

Top Winners

HYPE Up or Down - March 16, 6PM ET$4,404
Ducks vs. Golden Knights$730

Top Losers

1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Draw at halftime?$-2,574
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2PM ET$-2,557
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$-1,977
BNB Up or Down - March 20, 9AM ET$-1,647
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$-1,489
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$-1,319
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$-1,279
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-1,259
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$-1,251
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$-1,236

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.222
Sortino
-0.131
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
1.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
62.4
Very active
Markets / Day
21.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.8m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 246s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock62 trades/day — mass trading21 markets/day — mass coverage68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)5.9%
High (>55c)92.7%

Sessions

#12
5/7/2026, 3:58:11 AM31 trades$11,0540 min
3/18/2026, 4:55:03 PM29 trades$7,56421 min
5/10/2026, 3:30:57 PM52 trades$5,53110 min
3/18/2026, 8:59:57 PM7 trades$4,2834 min
3/13/2026, 1:25:01 AM7 trades$4,14812 min
3/18/2026, 7:59:55 AM4 trades$4,0816 min
3/17/2026, 5:00:01 AM2 trades$4,0590 min
3/4/2026, 10:50:23 AM6 trades$3,99710 min
3/3/2026, 11:05:03 PM4 trades$3,96310 min
3/17/2026, 7:00:03 AM66 trades$3,9376 min
5/4/2026, 10:00:22 AM31 trades$3,90120 min
3/13/2026, 1:35:03 PM6 trades$3,4002 min
3/13/2026, 11:45:07 AM31 trades$3,3237 min
3/17/2026, 8:10:49 PM3 trades$3,2840 min
3/19/2026, 2:59:53 PM4 trades$3,2680 min
3/4/2026, 9:15:01 PM2 trades$3,1830 min
3/17/2026, 10:30:27 AM13 trades$3,1255 min
3/17/2026, 5:32:15 PM23 trades$3,0874 min
3/15/2026, 10:10:13 PM5 trades$3,0871 min
3/14/2026, 11:00:57 PM15 trades$3,0779 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
01-30
02-26
03-26
06-04
07-01
07-31
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 117 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M5.9 / H92.7