@xtdemp
350xfbfaceddfd8c7d5ccf93b36e8bc9a20b86f6fea1
~365d· 8253 markets · 27320 trades2026-08-02 09:48:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
71% (5880/8249)20/20
0.80x (win $34,043 / loss $42,525)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4470/15
Sortino -3.6290/10
$-0.0328 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6 (8249 markets)10/10
164/334 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 5788% of peak ($8,883 / $153)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 71%
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Whale
$258,724 invested
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#1,666,269$-6,099Vol: $995,887
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,237$-1,491Vol: $32,142
⚽ SPORTS#122,820$97Vol: $5,007
📈 ECONOMICS#670,525$-268Vol: $2,957
💰 FINANCE#549,855$-6Vol: $2,205
💻 TECH#20,307$8Vol: $323
🎭 CULTURE#782,106$-100Vol: $189
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-7,859
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$258,724
Total Redeem
$603
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8253
total markets
Trades
23656B / 3664S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~365d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-7,859
Vol: $0
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
71%
5880W / 2369L events
Realized PnL
$-7,859
Win Rate
71%
5880W / 2369L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-18
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $630 (0.0801720836191002% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$240
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?$206
Government shutdown on Saturday?$184
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?$184
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12PM ET$183
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?$182
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET$174
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET$170
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 2PM ET$159
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?$150
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-362
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-358
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?$-278
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?$-272
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 11PM ET$-268
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?$-261
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5AM ET$-261
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 11PM ET$-231
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-228
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 9PM ET$-223
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.180
Sortino
-0.161
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
1.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
59.8
Very active
Markets / Day
18.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.5m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
26 min
Avg Trades / Session
119.2
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock60 trades/day — mass trading18 markets/day — mass coverage33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)49%
High (>55c)47.5%
Sessions
#121/27/2026, 10:34:37 PM970 trades$2,634140 min
6/19/2026, 6:36:13 AM38 trades$2,0408 min
8/8/2025, 3:26:31 PM18 trades$1,7579 min
8/4/2025, 11:32:04 AM22 trades$1,7327 min
1/28/2026, 4:27:14 PM163 trades$1,2924 min
11/7/2025, 3:06:55 PM71 trades$1,27664 min
8/22/2025, 1:19:48 PM10 trades$1,17616 min
1/28/2026, 7:30:44 PM72 trades$1,0573 min
1/26/2026, 11:58:59 AM231 trades$1,054108 min
4/6/2026, 3:11:05 PM19 trades$1,0201 min
1/28/2026, 12:32:15 PM295 trades$1,01427 min
1/29/2026, 1:11:34 AM211 trades$9969 min
1/28/2026, 1:20:51 PM153 trades$97225 min
1/26/2026, 6:31:04 AM222 trades$853115 min
1/29/2026, 7:57:28 AM99 trades$83768 min
1/27/2026, 2:05:19 PM242 trades$80235 min
1/29/2026, 12:08:14 AM215 trades$76615 min
1/27/2026, 10:02:17 AM199 trades$76072 min
4/1/2026, 3:29:03 AM48 trades$74421 min
1/29/2026, 7:30:06 AM62 trades$74019 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
06-11
08-17
10-14
12-08
02-01
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 349 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M49 / H47.5