@yarj0x

#3,031,61550

0xad58372e6124a1b5ac3e0a9b12a4ed2b1cad7624

~133d· 1031 markets · 7213 tradesVol: $843,251 @yarj0x2026-08-02 15:43:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (325/1021)0.9/20
1.35x (win $59,367 / loss $43,935)6.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.54315/15
Sortino 2.55410/10
$+0.0538 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 162 (1021 markets)10/10
57/117 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($14,241 / $16,627)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Whale
$286,577 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
93% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,862,260$-2,892Vol: $668,795
🌤️ WEATHER#10,622$47Vol: $63,402
CRYPTO#1,555,462$-273Vol: $35,993
🏛️ POLITICS#1,581,332$-317Vol: $34,316
💻 TECH#248,955$-105Vol: $23,237
🎭 CULTURE#766,662$-60Vol: $8,597
📢 MENTIONS#170,825$-290Vol: $4,894
💰 FINANCE#608,231$-33Vol: $2,100
📈 ECONOMICS#615,394$-15Vol: $1,917

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,939
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$843,251
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1031
total markets
Trades
6532B / 681S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~133d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$-25
Vol: $0
Month
$-12
Vol: $1,048
All Time
$-3,939
Vol: $843,251

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
325W / 696L events
Realized PnL
$-3,939
Win Rate
32%
325W / 696L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-64

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,435 (3.1569915786747775% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6,007
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners$3,333
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies$3,095
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$2,795
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,440
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$1,988
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,904
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres$1,842
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$1,824
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds$1,512

Top Losers

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?$-4,752
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians$-4,224
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?$-3,984
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$-2,573
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-27?$-2,070
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders$-1,936
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-27?$-1,722
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$-1,715
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?$-1,633
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28?$-1,222

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.080
Sortino
0.098
HHI
153
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.057
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
20.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.0m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 253s — normal for humanCV 5.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active2.6 markets/day — normal93% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.94
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.8%
Mid (20-55c)40.4%
High (>55c)36.8%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 2:03:56 PM4 trades$11,6222 min
4/28/2026, 5:27:16 PM20 trades$11,5781 min
4/28/2026, 1:13:30 PM8 trades$10,4641 min
4/28/2026, 2:24:14 PM1 trades$5,7600 min
5/28/2026, 11:36:18 PM13 trades$5,6931 min
5/24/2026, 2:58:07 PM8 trades$5,5890 min
4/28/2026, 12:50:32 PM1 trades$5,2800 min
5/14/2026, 3:39:25 PM11 trades$5,0580 min
5/18/2026, 10:35:22 PM30 trades$4,6612 min
5/11/2026, 5:21:57 PM5 trades$4,3105 min
7/7/2026, 3:32:23 PM9 trades$4,1922 min
3/26/2026, 2:50:11 AM2 trades$3,2800 min
5/13/2026, 12:18:25 PM4 trades$3,2540 min
4/26/2026, 7:08:28 PM4 trades$3,0960 min
3/23/2026, 12:35:05 AM4 trades$2,8693 min
4/28/2026, 12:32:14 PM2 trades$2,8660 min
5/12/2026, 12:45:33 PM2 trades$2,8541 min
3/28/2026, 5:07:51 PM3 trades$2,5001 min
3/27/2026, 6:36:57 PM2 trades$2,4600 min
3/26/2026, 6:55:43 PM2 trades$2,4001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-07
02-08
02-27
03-21
05-20
06-16
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.94/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.8 / M40.4 / H36.8