@zve3da
400xc948fd3e03895c8bad12135844aa6a484a0a33a1
~21d· 39 markets · 350 trades2026-08-02 09:50:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
81% (25/31)20/20
0.90x (win $12,415 / loss $13,778)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6290/15
Sortino -0.6900/10
$-0.0087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 773 (31 markets)8.6/10
12/16 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 162% of peak ($10,829 / $6,666)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 81%
DCA Master
Avg 8.4 entries/market
Whale
$157,297 invested
Consistent
12/16 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-20,717
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$157,297
Total Redeem
$780
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
80B / 270S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
81%
25W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-20,717
Win Rate
81%
25W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$497
Avg Loss
$-2,756
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,512 (0.31432314393617594% of PnL)
Top Winners
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$2,436
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$2,122
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1,954
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$720
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$618
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?$590
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$461
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?$440
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$403
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$295
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-10,000
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-1,578
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-1,000
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-1,000
US strikes Iraq by March 7?$-200
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.032
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
519
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.1%
Top-5 markets
42.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.3
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.35
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)93.8%
Sessions
#127/1/2026, 8:04:26 PM31 trades$27,4724 min
4/11/2026, 1:09:11 PM18 trades$12,9200 min
1/2/2026, 7:54:41 AM2 trades$12,0020 min
5/10/2026, 1:25:13 PM48 trades$11,5052 min
1/20/2026, 4:21:18 PM1 trades$10,0760 min
5/2/2026, 1:31:18 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
11/26/2025, 6:59:17 PM1 trades$9,9680 min
3/2/2026, 9:54:41 AM2 trades$9,7005 min
7/4/2026, 7:14:46 AM15 trades$8,2182 min
4/11/2026, 9:14:03 AM20 trades$7,7323 min
2/2/2026, 10:22:18 AM1 trades$7,0000 min
4/1/2026, 9:24:55 AM48 trades$6,8328 min
6/1/2026, 8:51:05 AM17 trades$5,2870 min
4/2/2026, 11:29:45 AM2 trades$5,1650 min
7/4/2026, 7:23:35 AM34 trades$4,4413 min
3/27/2026, 3:34:05 PM2 trades$3,7831 min
4/2/2026, 11:12:45 AM9 trades$3,4636 min
4/1/2026, 9:56:17 AM4 trades$3,1220 min
3/14/2026, 10:48:47 AM1 trades$2,9950 min
5/2/2026, 1:49:06 PM14 trades$2,8983 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
01-20
03-02
03-25
04-01
04-08
04-15
05-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M6.2 / H93.8