Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

0x2153374302d7d3fec49657493f076e49f3235c3b69a3b5ce4e8bb86c9e2e47d8

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 12.8% · CLOB volume $22.9k · whales 24h net $757 (15 wallets) · 7d net $1.3k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

12.8%

Yes

Implied No

87.3%

Volume

$22.9k

CLOB

Traders

133

562 trades

Yes 12.8%No 87.3%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$757

Buy

$1.2k

Sell

$425

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$1.3k

Buy

$3.5k

Sell

$2.2k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($757)
•7d whale net still positive ($1.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 12.8% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($22.9k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-31 06:12:12

87.4¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-31 06:12:12

114.4¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-31 04:55:56

87.4¢$10

NOBUY2026-07-31 04:55:56

114.4¢$12

YESBUY2026-07-30 23:59:33

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x1229…df38	272	$14.6k	$557	6
0x0a9c…d552	327	$13.6k	$-800	2
0xb399…9435	322	$7.8k	$-1.1k	3
0x91e5…0947	101	$5.8k

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