Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

0xece404da200641ebfc6ae4e60a558e1ec6a1716d379ac7f48e288da6e3604c3b

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 2.4% · CLOB volume $3.1k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $-140 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.4%

Yes

Implied No

97.6%

Volume

$3.1k

CLOB

Traders

214 trades

Yes 2.4%No 97.6%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$-140

Buy

$217

Sell

$357

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.4% — No favored
•7d whale net negative ($-140)
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($3.1k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

52 shown

NOBUY2026-07-29 02:33:32

99.4¢$10

—BUY2026-07-29 02:33:32

0.6¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-29 02:33:32

99.4¢$12

—BUY2026-07-29 02:33:32

0.6¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-29 02:33:32

99.1¢

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x1229…df38	272	$14.6k	$557	6
0x0a9c…d552	327	$13.6k	$-800	2
0xb399…9435	322	$7.8k	$-1.1k	3
0x91e5…0947	101	$5.8k

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