Haradwaith

@Haradwaith

#3,131,36228

0x21ffd2b7a212a6f277ed3eca1a9f8efcbca90d71

~635d· 13484 markets · 1522068 tradesVol: $122,081,1312026-09-10 14:02:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (6221/11766)11.4/20
0.93x (win $129,075 / loss $139,423)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0000/15
Sortino -1.2060/10
$-0.0115 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6 (11766 markets)10/10
252/500 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 3006% of peak ($14,843 / $494)0/10

Badges

5
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$899,058 invested
High Roller
$1,366/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,101$46,201Vol: $52,668,748
SPORTS#2,812$21,217Vol: $16,067,548
🎭 CULTURE#828,328$-16,865Vol: $14,796,399
🌤️ WEATHER#307,128$-56,731Vol: $11,855,283
💰 FINANCE#668,165$-40,942Vol: $8,360,923
CRYPTO#1,714,028$-12,113Vol: $7,610,686
📈 ECONOMICS#693,575$-23,141Vol: $5,787,825
💻 TECH#30$50,350Vol: $2,515,991
📢 MENTIONS#180,142$-4,126Vol: $307,829

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-42,416
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$122,081,131
Total Redeem
$367
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13484
total markets
Trades
17188B / 13407S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~635d

Periods

#2
Today
$7,702
Vol: $206,774
Week
$66,368
Vol: $1,791,227
Month
$101,021
Vol: $3,489,508
All Time
$-42,416
Vol: $122,081,131

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
27588W / 15477L events
Realized PnL
$-46,311
Win Rate
64%
27588W / 15477L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,012 (0.08663857371592433% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by March 31?$1,419
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,324
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1,270
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1,032
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$946
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$864
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$819
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$794
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$794
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$780

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-3,524
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,738
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-1,470
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,387
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-1,192
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,187
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-1,069
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-1,022
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-944
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-926

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
2.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2313.2
Very active
Markets / Day
20.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.1m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 837s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2313 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.37
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)80.6%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 11:45:17 AM1 trades$2,6040 min
7/19/2026, 7:01:40 AM1 trades$2,1360 min
8/12/2026, 8:49:40 AM3 trades$1,9723 min
6/24/2026, 3:47:19 AM2 trades$1,9553 min
1/5/2026, 6:22:33 AM2 trades$1,9481 min
8/27/2026, 10:24:04 AM1 trades$1,9060 min
4/28/2026, 12:54:24 PM10 trades$1,8730 min
8/5/2026, 12:39:12 AM1 trades$1,6980 min
7/12/2026, 2:59:59 PM4 trades$1,6309 min
8/23/2026, 4:27:39 AM1 trades$1,4940 min
8/23/2026, 3:09:09 AM2 trades$1,4622 min
2/16/2026, 9:12:19 AM1 trades$1,4480 min
5/4/2026, 5:14:48 PM2 trades$1,4292 min
10/28/2025, 8:19:47 PM1 trades$1,3370 min
10/13/2025, 7:45:49 PM1 trades$1,3200 min
8/30/2026, 11:43:09 PM3 trades$1,3134 min
8/16/2026, 4:08:42 PM1 trades$1,2950 min
7/7/2026, 4:18:07 PM3 trades$1,2880 min
8/16/2026, 4:50:28 PM1 trades$1,2580 min
10/21/2025, 8:01:27 PM1 trades$1,2050 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-26
07-20
10-11
01-02
03-26
06-17
09-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 371 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.7 / M9.7 / H80.6