Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

0x60d4510ffef708d0e486ee66341f806a3cca97db49345908be76a428b52b9cf9

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 2.4% · CLOB volume $16.0k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $50 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.4%

Yes

Implied No

97.7%

Volume

$16.0k

CLOB

Traders

129

1,000 trades

Yes 2.4%No 97.7%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$50

Buy

$63

Sell

$13

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($50)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.4% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($16.0k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

71 shown

YESBUY2026-07-30 09:40:56

3.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-30 09:40:56

97.0¢$18

NOBUY2026-07-29 02:33:32

98.0¢$12

YESBUY2026-07-29 02:33:32

2.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-29 02:33:32

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x1229…df38	272	$14.6k	$557	6
0x0a9c…d552	327	$13.6k	$-800	2
0xb399…9435	322	$7.8k	$-1.1k	3
0x91e5…0947	101	$5.8k

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