Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?

0x381bdf215fc59dcfc33dca5186da14f129629653478ed23131704e9d1b340067

Resolved market

Market closed / resolved · winner No · final Yes 0.0% · CLOB volume $6.4k · 4/15 related markets still open.

Implied Yes

0.0%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$6.4k

CLOB

Traders

264 trades

Yes 0.0%No 100.0%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily+clob_status · settled CLOB prices

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$3.2k

Buy

$3.8k

Sell

$611

Whales

Bull case

•Resolved — winner No
•Final Yes 0.0%

Bear case

•No new risk — book not accepting orders
•Use for historical tape / whale context only

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-20 04:27:55

99.9¢$51

—BUY2026-07-20 04:27:55

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-07-20 04:27:55

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-20 03:50:16

99.9¢$274

—BUY2026-07-20 03:50:16

0.1¢

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xa0b6…3961	1,158	$306.7k	$38.2k	5
0x122c…fbed	1,567	$221.3k	$3.9k	5
0xd5cc…dea4	348	$204.1k	$-56.3k	4
0x8f69…7df1	199	$117.9k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows, Smart Score and live screens — free to explore. Alpha API for automation.

Explore traders View plans