Polydata
Demanding-Chopsticks

@Demanding-Chopsticks

#70587

0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1

828d· 2887 markets · 10075 tradesVol: $20,781,1382026-07-21T18:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 87%20/20
Profit Factor 4.66x15/15
Sharpe 0.4879/15
Sortino 0.2743/10
EV $+1.96110/10
HHI 18210/10
Profit Days 90%10/10
DD/Peak 9%10/10

Summary

Demanding-Chopsticks is a highly active Polymarket trader ranked #705 globally with a net profit of $287,988. Over 923 days, they have completed 10,075 trades across 370 markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $20.7 million. Despite a moderate win rate of 44%, Demanding-Chopsticks maintains an elite Smart Score of 87, reflecting a strong track record and consistent profitability. Their current portfolio value stands at $203,555, and they have demonstrated a stable equity trend without prolonged drawdowns.

This trader’s style appears balanced with a moderate risk profile, as indicated by a Sharpe ratio of 0.49 and a profit factor of 0.27. Demanding-Chopsticks prefers a diverse range of markets, avoiding weather markets entirely, and tends to hold positions rather than frequently selling, with only 24% sell trades. The blend of manual and semi-automated trading, supported by a bot score of 45, suggests a hybrid approach that leverages automation alongside discretionary decisions. Their timing shows consistent engagement without significant exposure to high-volatility events.

Demanding-Chopsticks’ key strengths lie in their consistency and sizable trading volume, earning badges like Sniper and Whale. Their ability to avoid drawdown durations and maintain stable equity is notable on Polymarket. However, the relatively low profit factor and a win rate below 50% highlight potential challenges in trade efficiency, which could expose the trader to periods of lower profitability. The semi-bot strategy may also introduce risks if market conditions shift rapidly beyond algorithmic parameters.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+287,988
Win Streak
64 wins in a row
Whale
$2,060,456
Consistent
117/130 days
High Roller
$2,232/day
Cool Head
DD 9%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#802$62,852Vol: $12,916,801
SPORTS#1,517$43,359Vol: $1,351,272
🎭 CULTURE#521$15,516Vol: $974,752
CRYPTO#39,129$601Vol: $263,067
💻 TECH#807$2,035Vol: $91,295
📈 ECONOMICS#668,111$-653Vol: $90,427
💰 FINANCE#647,131$-1,346Vol: $44,203
📢 MENTIONS#158,446$-93Vol: $19,925
🌤️ WEATHER#3,704$303Vol: $2,795

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$287,988
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,781,138
Total Redeem
$291,845
Portfolio
$203,555
Predictions
2887
total markets
Trades
7710B / 2365S
Daily Volume
$2,232
Account Age
828d
since Apr 13, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1,237
Vol: $702
Week
$-1,608
Vol: $27,259
Month
$8,914
Vol: $571,699
All Time
$287,988
Vol: $20,781,138

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
228W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$1,014,044
Win Rate
44%
103W / 131L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$1,741
Avg Loss
$-5,093

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10,174
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S$9,700
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Pla$8,617
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$7,872
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major$7,500
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner$6,363
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$5,942
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$5,300
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner$5,100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$5,098

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3)$-36,103
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-31,661
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$-17,200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoff$-14,600
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner$-13,735
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major$-12,743
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, M$-11,215
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-11,109
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-11,097
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-11,030

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.487
Sortino
0.274
HHI
182
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.961
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
26.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.0m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — typical for humanSize CV 3.70 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high330 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
69 entries
<=2
100 entries
<=5
159 entries
<=10
202 entries
<=20
262 entries
<=50
332 entries
>50
38 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)46.5%
High (>55c)51%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.5%

Tybura$0
Atlanta$-8,883
New York City$-9,078
Other$-469,877

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
268

Single bracket

<=1
203 brackets
<=2
252 brackets
<=3
260 brackets
<=4
264 brackets
<=5
264 brackets
<=8
268 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/31/2025, 5:44:29 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
7/31/2025, 3:54:26 PM1 trades$80 min
7/31/2025, 9:32:12 PM1 trades$40 min
7/31/2025, 10:27:44 PM1 trades$230 min
8/1/2025, 2:13:22 AM1 trades$360 min
8/1/2025, 5:11:06 AM1 trades$1620 min
8/1/2025, 9:19:34 AM1 trades$1500 min
8/1/2025, 12:28:28 PM1 trades$140 min
8/1/2025, 9:56:04 PM1 trades$2460 min
8/2/2025, 1:51:34 AM1 trades$580 min
8/2/2025, 2:55:42 AM2 trades$290 min
8/2/2025, 5:03:12 PM1 trades$20 min
8/2/2025, 6:48:26 PM1 trades$50 min
8/2/2025, 10:16:08 PM2 trades$421 min
8/2/2025, 11:10:02 PM1 trades$10 min
8/2/2025, 11:55:48 PM1 trades$10 min
8/3/2025, 12:41:21 PM1 trades$1590 min
8/6/2025, 2:15:09 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
8/6/2025, 6:01:53 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
8/6/2025, 7:02:53 PM2 trades$9,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-13
01-30
03-22
05-11
06-08
09-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event