Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

0xaeef870515eeabc7caea79d3dd5e03c8799d524417978dcf547a540aa8401a74

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $15.2k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 5/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$15.2k

CLOB

Traders

102

652 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($15.2k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

7 shown

—BUY2026-07-07 13:16:40

0.1¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-07 13:16:40

100000.0¢$306

NOBUY2026-07-07 13:16:40

100000.0¢$694

NOBUY2026-06-27 14:46:56

100.1¢$5

NOBUY2026-06-27 14:46:56

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xf055…2015	$1.0k	$1	$1.0k	$999
0x0873…09e8	$999	$999	$0	$-999
0x907d…20c4	$306	$306	$0	$-306
0xa9d0…60ed	$300	$0	$300	$300

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xf797…0bf2	192	$44.2k	$15.6k	4
0xf2aa…21fb	199	$38.1k	$-15.3k	5
0xacea…8b97	521	$34.5k	$-15.8k	5
0xe3f2…e1c1	239	$30.8k

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