Multi-outcome · 6 open
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Volume $11.7kTraders 81Trades 981
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $8.0k
76.0%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?
open · $1.7k
14.2%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $1.5k
5.3%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $590
2.3%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $712
2.1%
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