Intent guide · polydata.pro
Polymarket market movers — largest odds shifts, research view
See which open Polymarket books moved the most in implied Yes over the last day, then open the live movers board for 1h / 24h / 7d. Not trade signals — investigation only.
Why odds moves matter
When implied Yes jumps or collapses, attention and capital are repricing a book. A movers board is not a signal to chase that move — it is a map of where probability changed the most among liquid open markets. Polydata ranks by Δpp (percentage points), not by volume alone, so a quiet high-liquidity book that shifted 8pp still surfaces.
Gainers = largest +Δpp in Yes. Losers = largest −Δpp. Reference prices use Yes-side (token1) fills near the window start; markets without a usable reference are omitted.
Live sample · 24h gainers
| Market | Yes% | Δpp | Vol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5 | 70% | +65.5 | $92K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | 76% | +56.0 | $193K |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | 93% | +43.0 | $241K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | 46% | +35.4 | $181K |
| RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5 | 49% | +30.5 | $120K |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | 96% | +29.4 | $157K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | 29% | +23.3 | $66K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | 79% | +20.5 | $117K |
Categories and other surfaces
Live movers support category filters (politics, crypto, sports, weather) so one vertical does not drown the board. Volume-ranked research hubs live at /markets/politics, crypto, and sports. Pair with the whale feed, screener, and research watchlist. Polydata never routes orders.
FAQ
What are Polymarket market movers?
A ranked list of open, liquid markets with the largest change in implied Yes probability over 1h, 24h, or 7d. Gainers rose in Yes%; losers fell. Research snapshot — not a buy/sell signal.
What does Yes% and Δpp mean?
Yes% is the current implied probability that Yes pays $1. Δpp is the change in that probability in percentage points versus a Yes-side reference fill near the window start.
Why only liquid markets?
Polydata filters to window volume ≥ $5k and drops near-certain books so thin or settlement dust does not dominate the ranking.
Where is the live board?
Open /movers for live Gainers and Losers with period tabs. This page explains the research view; the live board refreshes from Polydata’s indexed tape.
Is this financial advice?
No. Polydata is research-only and never executes trades. Pair movers with whale feed and market overview before drawing conclusions.
Related: Polymarket analytics · Methodology · Oracle · Stats