Market movers · research view

Largest odds moves

Ranked open Polymarket markets by how much the implied Yes probability moved in the selected window. Gainers — Yes% rose; Losers — Yes% fell. Liquid books only (window volume ≥ $5k). Research view — not trade signals.

Research-only disclaimer · Methodology · Screener · Whales

Gainers = largest +Δpp in implied Yes. Losers = largest −Δpp. Yes% is current mid; Δpp is change vs a Yes fill near the window start (percentage points).

Gainers — Yes% up

50

What market movers show

On Polymarket, each binary market has an implied probability that the Yes outcome pays $1. That mid is shown here as Yes%. Over a window (1h / 24h / 7d) that probability can rise or fall as traders reprice the book. Δpp is that change in percentage points — if Yes went from 40% to 55%, Δpp is +15pp, not “+37% relative.”

Gainers are markets where Yes% increased the most versus a Yes-side reference fill near the start of the window. Losers are where Yes% decreased the most. A large move can mean news, sports results, thin liquidity after a game, or simply active two-sided trading — it is not a recommendation to buy or sell.

How to read a row

  • Question — the market title; open it for overview, tape, and whale flow.
  • Yes% — current implied Yes (research mid from indexed prices / Yes fills).
  • Δpp — Yes% now minus Yes% near window start (percentage points).
  • Vol — USD traded in the volume window used for the liquid universe filter (not the same as lifetime volume on every screener row).
  • Bookmark (Save) adds the market to your research watchlist in this browser only.

Coverage and limits

Universe: open markets with enough window volume (≥ $5k) and a usable Yes (token1) reference fill. Near-certain books (Yes below ~3% or above ~97% at either end of the comparison) are dropped so settlement dust does not dominate the ranking. Data can lag the Polymarket UI by a short interval.

Pair movers with the whale feed (who printed size), the market screener, and methodology. Polydata never executes trades — this page is for investigation only.

Market movers FAQ

What are Polymarket market movers?

A ranked list of open, liquid markets with the largest change in implied Yes probability over 1h, 24h, or 7d. Gainers rose in Yes%; losers fell. It is a research snapshot of odds movement — not a buy/sell signal.

What does Yes% and Δpp mean?

Yes% is the current implied probability that the Yes outcome pays $1 (from market mid / outcome prices). Δpp is the change in that probability in percentage points versus a reference Yes fill near the start of the window. Example: 40% → 55% is +15pp.

How is the reference price chosen?

Polydata looks up a Yes-side (token1) trade closest to the window start in the recent fills index, then compares it to the current Yes mid. Markets without a usable reference fill are omitted so the list stays cleaner.

Why only markets with volume ≥ $5k?

Thin books can jump many points on a few prints. The volume floor keeps the universe on liquid open markets so large Δpp values are more often meaningful context, not illiquid noise.

Is this financial advice or a trade signal?

No. Polydata is research-only and never executes trades. Use movers to see where odds moved, then open the market, whale feed, or trader pages before drawing conclusions.