Multi-outcome · 23 open · 4 closed hidden

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Volume $87.6kTraders 101Trades 2,440

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $2.1k
89.0%
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $4.4k
69.0%
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $352
66.5%
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $430
54.0%
Will Peso Pluma have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $1
50.5%
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $680
50.4%
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $386
49.5%
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $700
45.8%
Will Playboi Carti have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $7.5k
43.0%
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $357
41.0%
Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $5.2k
33.5%
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $854
32.8%
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $40.1k
27.0%
Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $2.7k
23.5%
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $5.2k
23.0%
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $560
21.0%
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $9.0k
16.0%
Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $8.9k
15.5%
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $628
13.8%
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $10.8k
13.7%
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $7.0k
11.5%
Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $1.7k
10.0%
Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open · $794
3.0%

Probability ladder · open only

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