Multi-outcome · 6 open
Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
open · $998
28.7%
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
open · $5.9k
13.0%
Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
open · $3.0k
12.1%
Will Trump announce Sara Brenner as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
open · $2.7k
6.3%
Will Trump announce Stephen Hahn as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
open · $1.7k
4.3%
Will Trump announce Grace Graham as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
open · $4.2k
3.9%
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