Multi-outcome · 6 open · 1 closed hidden
What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?
open · $8.0k
36.0%
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?
open · $8.4k
24.6%
Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?
open · $4.3k
24.0%
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?
open · $8.3k
7.5%
Will the median home value in the US be between $440,000 and $447,000 on September 30?
open · $962
2.4%
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30?
open · $2.9k
0.5%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x564f…70263 mkts · $4.0k
- 0xf9f2…5cba2 mkts · $2.4k
- 0x1f9e…4f1a2 mkts · $2.0k
- 0xc602…7fc13 mkts · $1.6k
- 0x54db…01741 mkts · $1.5k
- 0x2a20…89d24 mkts · $1000
- 0xad53…ef244 mkts · $742
- 0xd23f…94a16 mkts · $741
- 0x0c9b…e7683 mkts · $662
- 0xb0fc…ce0b1 mkts · $606
- 0x6f67…102c4 mkts · $574
- 0xda20…cb8d2 mkts · $547
- 0x7495…7fcf4 mkts · $493
- 0xe457…5ab31 mkts · $468
- 0x6406…bc042 mkts · $461