Multi-outcome · 10 open
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Volume $1.39MTraders 795Trades 20,342
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
open · $180.2k
94.5%
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
open · $88.5k
1.1%
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?
open · $142.7k
0.8%
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?
open · $84.9k
0.7%
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?
open · $337.1k
0.5%
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
open · $177.1k
0.5%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xb143…3c173 mkts · $7.9k
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- 0x3bef…f04e5 mkts · $2.8k
- 0x5e83…3bb71 mkts · $2.4k
- 0x9b2c…21511 mkts · $2.2k
- 0xc30c…65091 mkts · $2.2k
- 0x84d7…298f1 mkts · $1.7k
- 0x9474…50918 mkts · $1.6k
- 0xfe3f…abe71 mkts · $1.2k
- 0xbf14…5d951 mkts · $1.0k
- 0xee67…67a62 mkts · $940
- 0x7b0f…145c3 mkts · $808
- 0x4fad…ef438 mkts · $804
- 0x6885…af173 mkts · $567
- 0xd218…b5c910 mkts · $554