Multi-outcome · 28 open
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?
open · $774
31.0%
Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?
open · $447
27.5%
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?
open · $2.7k
21.0%
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
open · $29.1k
20.5%
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?
open · $2.3k
16.0%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?
open · $7.8k
13.0%
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
open · $15.3k
12.5%
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?
open · $3.4k
11.0%
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
open · $29.6k
10.5%
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?
open · $709
9.5%
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?
open · $1.1k
9.0%
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?
open · $5.4k
8.5%
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?
open · $195
8.0%
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?
open · $2.3k
6.3%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
open · $21.4k
5.9%
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
open · $19.4k
5.5%
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
open · $12.1k
5.3%
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?
open · $24.5k
5.3%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
open · $126.6k
4.7%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?
open · $3.0k
4.2%
Will Trump pardon Young Thug before 2027?
open · $4.3k
3.5%
Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027?
open · $202
3.5%
Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027?
open · $2.0k
3.5%
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
open · $9.4k
3.1%
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?
open · $3.4k
2.8%
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
open · $52.9k
1.8%
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?
open · $5.5k
1.8%
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
open · $23.1k
1.3%
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