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Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?Active Ended

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?

0x2170cff0aedcc55d57d9d69f6df9404009a4df9d2f2afc96cf4dfb29dc1c17a2

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $694.2k · whales 24h net $337.9k (331 wallets) · 7d net $342.0k · 2/24 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.3%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$694.2k

CLOB

Traders

709

5,906 trades

Yes 0.3%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$337.9k

Buy

$744.7k

Sell

$406.8k

Whales

331

Last 7 days

Net flow

$342.0k

Buy

$749.0k

Sell

$407.0k

Whales

336

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($337.9k)
•7d whale net still positive ($342.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-08-02 05:19:00

0.3¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-02 05:19:00

99.7¢$268

—BUY2026-08-02 05:15:59

0.3¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-02 05:15:59

99.7¢$332

NOBUY2026-08-02 05:00:48

99.8¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x9d84…1344	$122.5k	$43.5k	$79.0k	$35.5k
0x44c1…ebc1	$119.2k	$74.3k	$44.9k	$-29.4k
0xbc8c…273f	$66.0k	$201	$65.8k	$65.6k
0x7e30…1e50	$52.3k	$52.3k	$0	$-52.3k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xdf17…97d1	282	$255.9k	$-199.3k	4
0x44c1…ebc1	164	$177.9k	$-36.2k	4
0x9d84…1344	230	$134.2k	$39.6k	3
0xb100…6461	87	$120.0k

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