aenews2

@aenews2

#7075

0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1

~952d· 2955 markets · 88097 tradesVol: $252,366,471 @aenews2026-09-10 11:42:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (2133/2877)20/20
1.54x (win $6,825,984 / loss $4,422,472)9.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.82615/15
Sortino 1.50510/10
$+0.0210 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 90 (2877 markets)10/10
348/500 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 76% of peak ($1,388,367 / $1,815,724)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+2,207,516
DCA Master
Avg 30.6 entries/market
Whale
$114,579,267 invested
Consistent
348/500 profitable days
High Roller
$118,123/day
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#27$1,223,362Vol: $153,211,450
🎭 CULTURE#3$454,232Vol: $32,054,571
CRYPTO#146$204,041Vol: $16,661,897
🌤️ WEATHER#2$285,817Vol: $10,221,511
💻 TECH#20$56,556Vol: $9,950,142
📈 ECONOMICS#223$33,753Vol: $9,202,368
📢 MENTIONS#4$147,310Vol: $7,791,780
SPORTS#1,907,749$-129,469Vol: $6,621,636
💰 FINANCE#132$32,688Vol: $4,202,354

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,214,551
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$252,366,471
Total Redeem
$2,600,607
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2955
total markets
Trades
56489B / 31608S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~952d

Periods

#2
Today
$3,968
Vol: $11,078
Week
$17,938
Vol: $170,604
Month
$27,804
Vol: $856,021
All Time
$2,214,551
Vol: $252,366,471

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
2133W / 744L events
Realized PnL
$2,207,516
Win Rate
74%
2133W / 744L
Profit Factor
1.54x
Avg Win
$3,200
Avg Loss
$-6,092

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,745,379 (0.7906531492501269% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,095,300
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$369,374
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$280,706
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$205,284
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$185,979
2024 July hottest on record?$148,431
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$141,471
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$120,355
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$82,559
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$77,580

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-517,591
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-425,291
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-416,266
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-239,348
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-164,024
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-150,121
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$-125,009
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$-112,095
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-105,105
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-86,494

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.043
Sortino
0.045
HHI
85
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
13.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
90.8
Very active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.7m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 5.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock91 trades/day — mass trading3.0 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
30.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.8%
Mid (20-55c)17%
High (>55c)57.2%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 4:31:01 AM9 trades$2,441,0324 min
5/5/2026, 11:04:34 PM61 trades$762,3771 min
6/14/2026, 11:56:15 PM18 trades$702,4164 min
3/24/2026, 10:50:31 AM178 trades$697,85692 min
6/17/2026, 7:52:05 AM11 trades$683,5397 min
6/17/2026, 1:45:20 AM69 trades$630,21436 min
6/3/2025, 2:36:52 PM18 trades$574,6313 min
1/21/2025, 5:49:17 AM19 trades$560,00718 min
4/30/2025, 10:54:05 PM6 trades$554,1310 min
1/20/2025, 1:18:21 PM4 trades$538,9476 min
2/28/2026, 8:26:35 PM137 trades$524,98148 min
4/29/2026, 11:05:22 PM7 trades$498,1991 min
3/1/2026, 6:49:29 AM101 trades$491,75538 min
1/20/2025, 11:57:39 AM1 trades$466,9960 min
5/18/2025, 7:21:21 PM15 trades$432,1928 min
4/29/2025, 6:06:20 PM3 trades$428,2950 min
1/14/2025, 9:01:37 PM2 trades$417,1340 min
11/5/2024, 9:33:49 PM102 trades$415,65473 min
10/10/2025, 9:36:54 PM2 trades$412,0991 min
11/15/2024, 9:25:53 PM73 trades$400,82724 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
04-22
07-29
11-03
02-02
05-14
09-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.8 / M17 / H57.2