Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?

0x2d2cf7c2aeb7f29a2b85a30e4b0702aaf5afbcc1f555d00e96e411941a1f889a

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $377 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $75 · 9/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$377

CLOB

Traders

19 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$75

Buy

$75

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($75)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($377) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

19 shown

NOBUY2026-08-03 09:03:05

99.9¢$5

—BUY2026-08-03 09:03:05

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-03 09:03:03

99.9¢$5

—BUY2026-08-03 09:03:03

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-01 05:10:56

99.8¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x764b…6bad	$60	$60	$0	$-60
0xd23f…94a1	$29	$29	$0	$-29
0x090a…0fa6	$15	$15	$0	$-15
0xa047…4ffa	$5	$5	$0	$-5

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe397…bfcb	34	$2.2k	$-306	1
0x6f57…b03f	31	$1.0k	$-129	1
0xc3fc…484a	18	$898	$-454	2
0x51de…9e4a	8	$857

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