Live
0x4b7b21a5cfdcc7cbb33d499c44b7f11ac754f13d3db39cd93b976141dcdb516e
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 6.5% · CLOB volume $217.5k · whales 24h net $2.3k (2 wallets) · 7d net $15.3k · 1/3 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
6.5%
Yes
Implied No
93.5%
No
Volume
$217.5k
CLOB
Traders
178
696 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.3k
Buy
$2.4k
Sell
$140
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$15.3k
Buy
$30.4k
Sell
$15.1k
Whales
12
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1de9…831d | $32.5k | $30.1k | $2.3k | $-27.8k |
| 0xc9dc…9026 | $21.2k | $19.6k | $1.6k | $-18.1k |
| 0x56b1…0e9f | $17.9k | $13.3k | $4.6k | $-8.7k |
| 0x8a98…2619 | $14.6k | $1.3k | $13.3k | $12.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1de9…831d | 60 | $44.4k | $-27.8k | 2 |
| 0xed10…d2e5 | 90 | $25.9k | $-22.9k | 1 |
| 0xc9dc…9026 | 30 | $24.2k | $-21.1k | 2 |
| 0x0dde…94c3 | 125 | $20.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 3 total
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
open · $217.5k
6.5%
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
closed · $3.65M
0.0%
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
closed · $1.45M
0.0%
| 0x07ce…f696 | $14.1k | $3.1k | $11.0k | $7.9k |
| 0x0dde…94c3 | $13.3k | $13.1k | $262 | $-12.8k |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | $12.7k | $1.0k | $11.7k | $10.7k |
| 0xa4c8…b0ec | $4.6k | $3.1k | $1.5k | $-1.6k |
| 0x431d…8fde | $4.5k | $4.4k | $43 | $-4.4k |
| 0x243c…2240 | $4.3k | $4.3k | $0 | $-4.3k |
| 0xd453…1f27 | $3.4k | $1.2k | $2.3k | $1.1k |
| 0x8d19…be54 | $2.8k | $2.7k | $75 | $-2.7k |
| $-14.3k |
| 2 |
| 0x56b1…0e9f | 94 | $17.9k | $-8.7k | 1 |
| 0x193a…ac57 | 14 | $17.3k | $-23 | 1 |
| 0x904f…50c6 | 17 | $15.3k | $15.1k | 1 |
| 0x8a98…2619 | 24 | $14.6k | $12.0k | 1 |
| 0x07ce…f696 | 70 | $14.1k | $7.9k | 1 |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | 7 | $12.7k | $10.7k | 1 |