meagainsttheworld

@meagainsttheworld

#1,16083

0x9592adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b8

~132d· 602 markets · 22831 tradesVol: $13,386,7702026-09-10 07:05:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (356/543)17.8/20
1.50x (win $1,269,869 / loss $847,242)8.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.06315/15
Sortino 3.59010/10
$+0.1908 per $1 invested9.5/10
HHI 371 (543 markets)10/10
76/123 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($423,984 / $846,611)4/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+14,553
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 50.2 entries/market
Whale
$2,214,808 invested
Consistent
76/123 profitable days
High Roller
$14,571/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#311$170,508Vol: $12,411,447
🎭 CULTURE#1,676$4,735Vol: $508,524
💰 FINANCE#11,038$248Vol: $167,029
📢 MENTIONS#486$3,496Vol: $84,084
SPORTS#7,353$7,059Vol: $58,347
💻 TECH#1,204$1,369Vol: $49,967
📈 ECONOMICS#2,670$1,258Vol: $23,911
CRYPTO#169,930$25Vol: $15,000
🌤️ WEATHER#243,253$-8Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$186,161
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,386,770
Total Redeem
$3,096
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
602
total markets
Trades
10079B / 12752S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~132d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,459
Vol: $62,798
Week
$-2,557
Vol: $217,316
Month
$-5,523
Vol: $392,593
All Time
$186,161
Vol: $13,386,770

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
356W / 187L events
Realized PnL
$14,553
Win Rate
66%
356W / 187L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$3,567
Avg Loss
$-4,655

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $802,600 (55.15041163532017% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$621,391
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$95,512
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$85,697
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$48,156
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$42,933
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$29,385
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$26,687
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$26,627
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$24,193
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$24,079

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-125,439
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-102,711
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-75,006
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-72,922
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-52,857
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?$-36,375
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$-32,398
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-31,554
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-31,191
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-27,594

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.055
Sortino
0.129
HHI
530
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.158
Kelly %
15.5%
Half-Kelly
7.8%
Top-1 market
16.6%
Top-5 markets
39.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
150.2
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.2m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
97.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 4.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock150 trades/day — automation4.0 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
50.17
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.4%
High (>55c)37.9%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 9:14:49 PM420 trades$264,29142 min
6/11/2026, 12:22:15 PM123 trades$134,8990 min
6/7/2026, 7:28:18 PM317 trades$112,14559 min
6/11/2026, 5:29:03 PM177 trades$108,36111 min
4/7/2026, 10:25:11 PM149 trades$103,30427 min
6/30/2026, 6:22:31 PM61 trades$102,8059 min
6/9/2026, 6:58:31 PM146 trades$93,23046 min
6/19/2026, 5:29:35 PM17 trades$87,5048 min
6/10/2026, 3:50:52 PM68 trades$87,2248 min
6/7/2026, 9:53:25 PM90 trades$74,3448 min
8/6/2026, 6:13:35 PM172 trades$73,78020 min
6/11/2026, 8:00:21 PM312 trades$55,40099 min
4/7/2026, 10:57:57 PM251 trades$54,61928 min
6/9/2026, 6:36:24 PM94 trades$51,9104 min
7/3/2026, 8:07:53 AM114 trades$51,43514 min
6/14/2026, 4:57:01 AM97 trades$51,25045 min
8/4/2026, 4:45:09 PM27 trades$50,9472 min
8/7/2026, 1:51:01 AM142 trades$47,40713 min
7/28/2026, 9:41:37 PM241 trades$45,49847 min
6/10/2026, 8:09:01 PM59 trades$42,79810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
04-15
05-13
06-05
06-26
07-17
08-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 50.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.7 / M14.4 / H37.9