Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?

0x6b9fee4f3c516fb87aea6fccac7f44f2cc7015635d62caf38d9972d2a8427224

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 23.5% · CLOB volume $778 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 11/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

23.5%

Yes

Implied No

76.5%

Volume

$778

CLOB

Traders

53 trades

Yes 23.5%No 76.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 23.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($778) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

5 shown

NOBUY2026-07-20 10:25:39

89.0¢$10

YESBUY2026-07-20 10:25:39

11.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-20 10:25:30

89.0¢$20

YESBUY2026-07-20 10:25:30

11.0¢$2

YESBUY2026-07-20 10:25:30

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x4fb1…0787	$34	$30	$4	$-26
0x45e6…c078	$3	$3	$0	$-3
0x40c7…b1e8	$1	$1	$0	$-1

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x4fb1…0787	119	$3.0k	$-1.6k	8
0xbada…d874	104	$1.3k	$-77	5
0x57e4…835e	18	$1.3k	$-118	1
0xc602…7fc1	33	$985

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