Will Sean Manaea win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?

0x8290e3dda065a94777d2638b08e5f9431377525716d67498b18d12695429a5d3

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.9% · CLOB volume $142 · whales 24h net $20 (2 wallets) · 7d net $20 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.9%

Yes

Implied No

99.1%

Volume

$142

CLOB

Traders

19 trades

Yes 0.9%No 99.1%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$20

Buy

$20

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$20

Buy

$20

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($20)
•7d whale net still positive ($20)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.9% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($142) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

8 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 07:07:03

14285.7¢$20

—BUY2026-08-04 07:07:03

0.7¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-28 18:39:31

16666.7¢$9

—BUY2026-07-28 18:39:31

0.6¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-26 16:23:24

33333.3¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x613b…da44	$20	$20	$0	$-20
0xb31c…dc78	$20	$20	$0	$-20
0x54c6…e5c2	$9	$9	$0	$-8
0x46b3…d3de	$5	$5	$0	$-5

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x38e5…95e7	18	$443	$405	1
0xb31c…dc78	19	$141	$-139	7
0x2641…bcda	2	$73	$-73	1
0x8b1c…1ec7	8	$73

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API