Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

0x888188182ce163cdd158329f9c207be2082fbc045ae1c5e171c69965ebbca629

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 10.5% · CLOB volume $1.5k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $5 · 27/30 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

10.5%

Yes

Implied No

89.5%

Volume

$1.5k

CLOB

Traders

159 trades

Yes 10.5%No 89.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

$50

Sell

$45

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($5)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 10.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($1.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

81 shown

YESBUY2026-08-01 03:48:41

11.0¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-01 03:48:41

909.1¢$45

NOBUY2026-07-24 13:13:31

116.3¢$5

NOBUY2026-07-24 13:13:31

714.3¢$5

YESBUY2026-07-23 22:19:19

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x0231…45d0	$140	$116	$25	$-91
0x40a7…ecb7	$128	$84	$44	$-40
0x9474…5091	$100	$100	$0	$-100
0xe8c4…ea5c	$94	$74	$20	$-54

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x40a7…ecb7	235	$6.1k	$-5.5k	30
0xc3a1…743e	167	$5.2k	$4.9k	18
0x0c9d…2ee4	43	$3.5k	$643	5
0x2b3d…8db7	56	$3.0k

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