@0x441698a004d04eccde0bc48fa3a3185244c2a6a6
#2,864,050250x441698a004d04eccde0bc48fa3a3185244c2a6a6
~46d· 118 markets · 1387 tradesVol: $43,1832026-08-02 05:11:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (44/85)10.9/20
0.84x (win $386 / loss $456)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6660/15
Sortino -1.9590/10
$-0.0258 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 801 (85 markets)8.5/10
16/31 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 365% of peak ($169 / $46)0/10
Badges
1DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#261,741$-21Vol: $1,604
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-573
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,183
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
522B / 865S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
44W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-573
Win Rate
52%
44W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-14
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $187 (0.32553473603405564% of PnL)
Top Winners
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?$82
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?$61
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?$44
Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-05-08?$39
England to score first vs. Argentina?$23
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$21
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$16
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5$13
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$12
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$11
Top Losers
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?$-83
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$-51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-28
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in June?$-23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-21
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-19
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-17
Spread: France (-1.5)$-10
Spread: CDT Real Oruro (-1.5)$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
10.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.6
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 0.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule19 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.1%
Mid (20-55c)18.4%
High (>55c)70.5%
Sessions
#125/26/2026, 5:45:16 AM4 trades$8330 min
6/4/2026, 3:42:34 AM29 trades$4596 min
6/3/2026, 7:48:56 AM5 trades$3870 min
6/4/2026, 3:31:00 AM15 trades$2875 min
7/8/2026, 9:00:08 AM7 trades$2730 min
5/30/2026, 7:18:40 AM49 trades$26911 min
5/24/2026, 2:38:09 AM53 trades$2668 min
6/10/2026, 9:01:58 AM24 trades$2551 min
5/30/2026, 12:12:23 PM35 trades$21815 min
5/21/2026, 2:43:02 AM36 trades$2135 min
5/25/2026, 10:14:08 AM16 trades$1932 min
6/10/2026, 9:10:45 AM9 trades$1632 min
7/3/2026, 7:12:01 AM10 trades$1580 min
5/28/2026, 11:11:20 AM6 trades$1491 min
6/4/2026, 7:16:07 AM22 trades$1465 min
6/23/2026, 10:12:44 AM5 trades$1380 min
5/22/2026, 6:42:51 AM6 trades$1231 min
7/15/2026, 5:58:52 AM3 trades$1220 min
7/22/2026, 11:40:22 AM6 trades$1210 min
5/28/2026, 8:40:39 AM21 trades$1105 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-20
05-28
06-04
06-16
06-26
07-17
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.1 / M18.4 / H70.5