Will Rafael Leao join Liverpool?

0x8e856b790c4b427e11545bb5e479df0915a3f84a5f45a1b2a0930fedb5698d06

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 11.0% · CLOB volume $265 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 12/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

11.0%

Yes

Implied No

89.0%

Volume

$265

CLOB

Traders

67 trades

Yes 11.0%No 89.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 11.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($265) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

11 shown

YESBUY2026-07-24 15:20:24

34.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-24 15:20:24

294.1¢$3

NOBUY2026-07-10 23:00:19

83.0¢$1

YESBUY2026-07-10 23:00:19

17.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-07 19:49:16

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xe097…d399	$30	$28	$2	$-26
0x51a1…2335	$5	$5	$0	$-5
0xd277…d39e	$4	$1	$3	$2
0x65bd…d8f2	$2	$2	$0	$-2

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xcee6…8233	130	$6.4k	$-3.5k	1
0x7e33…1482	25	$4.1k	$-3.3k	1
0xe381…3ba9	71	$4.0k	$624	2
0xf0f6…f699	49	$3.1k

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