US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?

0x95f75978d8e3b735dda39675d113c68c4619a09f392cda4f28612ef5385f4af9

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 47.5% · CLOB volume $97.5k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

47.5%

Yes

Implied No

52.5%

Volume

$97.5k

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 47.5%No 52.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 47.5% — No favored
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

0 shown

No recent on-chain fills in this window — volume above is live order-book activity; the fill tape may lag for new markets.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

Single-market event

No sibling markets for this event.

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

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Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

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