Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?

0x98152f024bc4b1131f75064e97a4afc91c25fd1f8f662d32b7aaee3af4728fec

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 40.0% · CLOB volume $652 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

40.0%

Yes

Implied No

60.0%

Volume

$652

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 40.0%No 60.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 40.0% — No favored
•Thin liquidity ($652) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

0 shown

No recent on-chain fills in this window — volume above is live order-book activity; the fill tape may lag for new markets.

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?

Single-market event

No sibling markets for this event.

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

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Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

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