Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?

0x987859b115c8e2d48d329b30405a4515369fcbe933895b4a1cffa8b3f098f80b

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 90.0% · CLOB volume $18.9k · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

90.0%

Yes

Implied No

10.0%

Volume

$18.9k

CLOB

Traders

629 trades

Yes 90.0%No 10.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

No whale flow data

Last 7 days

No whale flow data

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 90.0%
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($18.9k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-23 20:25:28

909.1¢$50

YESBUY2026-07-23 20:25:28

11.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-23 20:25:28

112.4¢$30

YESBUY2026-07-23 09:47:00

12.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-23 09:47:00

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

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Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

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