Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?

0x9d48989071ce5b16bac542ed693f589a2fde1950e0a4fc360150f2320059f758

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 6.5% · CLOB volume $17.7k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

6.5%

Yes

Implied No

93.5%

Volume

$17.7k

CLOB

Traders

114

479 trades

Yes 6.5%No 93.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 6.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($17.7k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

35 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 13:34:46

2000.0¢$5

YESBUY2026-07-21 13:34:46

5.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-21 12:26:40

90.0¢$5

YESBUY2026-07-21 12:26:40

10.0¢$1

YESBUY2026-07-21 10:36:48

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xcf07…c770	$187	$86	$101	$15
0x40d8…9fda	$141	$141	$0	$-141
0x7b04…3a41	$101	$101	$0	$-101
0x5739…b180	$53	$26	$26	$0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x0096…de43	12	$1.9k	$-181	3
0x6138…97a0	8	$984	$-984	2
0xf22b…7eab	59	$676	$-137	4
0xd990…749e	26	$612

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API