Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026?

0xaa1153a9b1224e8496cb0ef929258c2acebb635a85affc2d1b7625ea21f87fa1

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 17.1% · CLOB volume $20.2k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 28/50 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

17.1%

Yes

Implied No

83.0%

Volume

$20.2k

CLOB

Traders

139

268 trades

Yes 17.1%No 83.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 17.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($20.2k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

8 shown

NOBUY2026-07-10 22:30:13

2564.1¢$3

YESBUY2026-07-10 22:30:13

3.9¢$0

YESBUY2026-07-01 20:55:16

35.9¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-01 20:55:16

278.6¢$3

NOBUY2026-06-26 08:28:37

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x8030…7b74	$26	$17	$9	$-8
0xad53…ef24	$12	$12	$0	$-12
0xc217…8701	$7	$4	$3	$-1
0x5447…19c8	$1	$0	$0	$0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x05ed…bf70	95	$8.8k	$-3.2k	2
0x0130…274c	29	$7.5k	$-4.4k	2
0xcee6…8233	109	$4.8k	$-4.8k	2
0x836f…906e	3	$3.5k

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