Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?

0xbd4ba88a6d2a33f904d1eec67989a7910f4738c8ee0a047031dfb48bfcc1c5bd

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $5.3k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $33 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.5%

Yes

Implied No

99.5%

Volume

$5.3k

CLOB

Traders

102 trades

Yes 0.5%No 99.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$33

Buy

$34

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($33)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($5.3k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

47 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 19:22:23

33333.3¢$2

—BUY2026-08-02 19:22:23

0.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-02 03:03:39

99.7¢$2

—BUY2026-08-02 03:03:39

0.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-01 01:22:29

99.7¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x44e0…339d	$57	$5	$52	$47
0xd23f…94a1	$40	$40	$0	$-40
0xe8a6…644b	$36	$36	$0	$-36
0xc537…88a2	$36	$18	$18	$-0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x8f7b…2a5f	19	$573	$-354	2
0x571c…6a4a	15	$442	$23	1
0xd23f…94a1	42	$362	$-357	10
0xe8a6…644b	23	$352

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