Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 105m by August 31?

0xbe86e6d321001173b2847590214d871bac55837590c95801014ed84528e26d80

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 19.5% · CLOB volume $2.4k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0.

Implied Yes

19.5%

Yes

Implied No

80.5%

Volume

$2.4k

CLOB

Traders

0 trades

Live snapshot from Polymarket (Gamma). This market is not fully in our on-chain index yet — whale tape and historical fills may be empty until sync catches up.

Yes 19.5%No 80.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 19.5% — No favored
•Thin liquidity ($2.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

0 shown

No recent on-chain fills in this window — volume above is live order-book activity; the fill tape may lag for new markets.

Ariana Grande monthly listeners hits __ by August 31?

Single-market event

No sibling markets for this event.

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

No participant rollup yet for this market.

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

No event trader rollup yet for this market.

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