Will the Republican Party win the CA-09 House seat?

0xc418ccd01fdd4a68febdf94629cde642bd80c6f39f70081901e4d2fa61803437

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $7.0k · whales 24h net $1 (1 wallets) · 7d net $412 · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

5.5%

Yes

Implied No

94.5%

Volume

$7.0k

CLOB

Traders

115 trades

Yes 5.5%No 94.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$412

Buy

$438

Sell

$26

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1)
•7d whale net still positive ($412)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 5.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($7.0k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

44 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 14:14:06

2000.0¢$27

YESBUY2026-08-04 14:14:06

5.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-29 17:26:47

2000.0¢$400

YESBUY2026-07-29 17:26:47

5.0¢$20

NOBUY2026-07-29 17:26:29

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