Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

0xd1d9c72da4ed36e09eb9019a0554451cb3a9e5681fc5d00ec94205f1d97a8ce5

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 5.0% · CLOB volume $102.8k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $1.2k · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

5.0%

Yes

Implied No

95.0%

Volume

$102.8k

CLOB

Traders

373

2,288 trades

Yes 5.0%No 95.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$1.2k

Buy

$2.5k

Sell

$1.3k

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($1.2k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 5.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-01 02:29:18

95.0¢$29

YESBUY2026-08-01 02:29:18

5.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-01 02:28:08

94.8¢$19

NOBUY2026-08-01 02:28:08

105.3¢$15

NOBUY2026-08-01 02:28:08

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x54a7…881b	$3.1k	$2.4k	$702	$-1.7k
0xef94…f8c4	$2.6k	$1.4k	$1.3k	$-95
0x1f51…f5dc	$2.5k	$1.3k	$1.3k	$-5
0xc602…7fc1	$2.2k	$1.6k	$555	$-1.1k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xab82…abe5	453	$348.5k	$-23.7k	3
0x2d85…c543	36	$54.5k	$-54.5k	3
0xc228…d796	87	$31.3k	$-2.5k	1
0x23f4…c234	76	$27.1k

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