Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?

0xc0f838d718bf25167ba687f574603cecac310eb7b33daa55b1ac0f9095ed5445

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 2.2% · CLOB volume $109.5k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $45 · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.2%

Yes

Implied No

97.8%

Volume

$109.5k

CLOB

Traders

359

1,128 trades

Yes 2.2%No 97.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$45

Buy

$104

Sell

$60

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($45)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.2% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-31 14:58:14

97.7¢$14

NOBUY2026-07-31 14:58:14

102.4¢$15

NOBUY2026-07-26 20:45:21

104.2¢$45

NOBUY2026-07-26 20:45:21

2500.0¢$45

NOBUY2026-07-25 07:29:22

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x8e7a…f429	$7.5k	$302	$7.2k	$6.9k
0xdc16…7e58	$6.5k	$6.5k	$0	$-6.5k
0x54a7…881b	$3.3k	$2.0k	$1.2k	$-781
0x29d3…619b	$831	$437	$395	$-42

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xab82…abe5	453	$348.5k	$-23.7k	3
0x2d85…c543	36	$54.5k	$-54.5k	3
0xc228…d796	87	$31.3k	$-2.5k	1
0x23f4…c234	76	$27.1k

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