Will Tom Sherman win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?

0xd340a09f0d1cb547090bf64f197fc32af2fe06701e092a70713bf609d44c9a0d

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $2.4k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.3%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$2.4k

CLOB

Traders

159 trades

Yes 0.3%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($2.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

17 shown

NOBUY2026-07-18 22:00:49

99.7¢$7

—BUY2026-07-18 22:00:49

0.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-18 20:06:52

99.7¢$10

—BUY2026-07-18 20:06:52

0.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-08 18:37:05

99.0¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xa667…ceb3	$54	$53	$0	$-53
0xa9d0…60ed	$49	$1	$48	$47
0x510f…a43c	$29	$29	$0	$-28
0xe068…c5ea	$28	$28	$0	$-28

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xa667…ceb3	17	$291	$-193	4
0x2955…0738	8	$284	$-174	1
0x5529…e5b9	11	$186	$-78	2
0xefac…c9a1	10	$179

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