Oracle profile · 0xa38f…e97d

0xa38f936822cf1b2700f81517754375e5ebdee97d

Excellent calibration — predictions track outcomes very closely.

Calibration band: excellent · Leaderboard: Unranked / below floor

Brier score

0.000

Accuracy

100.0%

Resolved positions

2

Resolved volume

$60

Avg outcome rate

100.0%

Avg conf. on correct

98.9¢

Full trader analyticsOracle leaderboardMethodology

Calibration curve

Each bucket groups resolved positions by average entry price. Compare avg price (what the market implied) to outcome rate (how often that side paid). Well-calibrated traders keep those numbers close across buckets with enough n.

BucketAvg priceOutcome ratenBrier
0.90-1.0098.9¢100.0%20.000

How to read this oracle profile

This page is a resolved-market accuracy dossier for 0xa38f936822cf1b2700f81517754375e5ebdee97d. It does not show open positions, mark-to-market PnL, or Smart Score — those live on the full trader analytics page.

  • Brier — aggregate squared error vs 0/1 outcomes; ~0.25 is a coin-flip baseline.
  • Accuracy — share of resolved positions that paid in the trader's favor.
  • Volume / n — sample size. High accuracy on tiny notional is weak evidence.
  • Calibration — whether cheap entries actually win rarely and expensive ones win often.

Research only — Polydata never executes trades. Cross-check the leaderboard, methodology, and Polymarket analytics before drawing conclusions.