-21-

@-21-

#346,61435

0x3bbe347d717c5339459dc9710c945360959d7202

~57d· 71 markets · 197 tradesVol: $25,823 @_21Nad2026-08-04 22:47:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (33/65)10.4/20
1.04x (win $910 / loss $873)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1763.3/15
Sortino 0.3493.5/10
$+0.0125 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 1111 (65 markets)6.9/10
22/38 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 93% of peak ($493 / $528)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+38
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#22,170$90Vol: $22,206
🏛️ POLITICS#1,408,773$-27Vol: $2,509
📢 MENTIONS#22,900$7Vol: $434
CRYPTO#1,177,048$-12Vol: $326
SPORTS#1,448,596$-19Vol: $151
🌤️ WEATHER#198,620$-1Vol: $135

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,823
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
127B / 70S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Month
$-12
Vol: $102
All Time
$38
Vol: $25,823

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
33W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$38
Win Rate
51%
33W / 32L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $666 (17.660657476139978% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$563
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$22
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$21
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$16
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$13

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$-205
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$-198
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-104
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$-100
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-52
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$-47
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$-24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.009
Sortino
0.014
HHI
488
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.5%
Top-5 markets
39.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
46.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2776s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)66.9%

Sessions

#12
1/2/2026, 5:32:53 PM1 trades$1,0570 min
1/2/2026, 1:03:11 PM3 trades$4740 min
12/19/2025, 2:03:28 PM1 trades$2130 min
12/19/2025, 3:10:08 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/6/2026, 2:34:27 PM1 trades$1980 min
12/17/2025, 10:12:15 PM4 trades$1523 min
12/17/2025, 3:42:22 PM1 trades$1520 min
12/16/2025, 7:50:25 PM1 trades$1520 min
12/13/2025, 10:42:15 PM1 trades$1050 min
1/9/2026, 9:04:32 AM1 trades$1040 min
1/9/2026, 10:01:40 AM2 trades$1041 min
1/8/2026, 6:23:41 AM2 trades$1032 min
12/17/2025, 2:16:52 PM2 trades$992 min
2/2/2026, 2:45:56 PM1 trades$980 min
4/27/2026, 12:53:20 PM1 trades$730 min
4/29/2026, 2:53:46 AM3 trades$732 min
4/28/2026, 4:08:22 PM2 trades$680 min
1/8/2026, 5:36:52 PM1 trades$680 min
4/27/2026, 11:55:52 PM2 trades$660 min
1/7/2026, 7:45:39 AM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-02
12-20
01-02
02-15
03-28
04-27
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 163 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.9 / M25.2 / H66.9