-Harnisch1003-

@-Harnisch1003-

#10,10567

0x85c06787486a90e05ba1df96c034ef95c8cce01d

~199d· 1268 markets · 11171 tradesVol: $595,6062026-08-05 00:38:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (409/1268)1.1/20
1.47x (win $31,827 / loss $21,616)8.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.75915/15
Sortino 12.45910/10
$+0.1391 per $1 invested7/10
HHI 33 (1268 markets)10/10
100/190 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($815 / $10,475)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+15,210
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Whale
$73,417 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#124$14,612Vol: $566,593
CRYPTO#42,246$524Vol: $19,261
📈 ECONOMICS#7,588$233Vol: $4,435
SPORTS#1,559,112$-40Vol: $2,764
💻 TECH#251,742$-150Vol: $2,474
🏛️ POLITICS#114,561$29Vol: $79

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,210
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$595,606
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1268
total markets
Trades
6944B / 4227S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~199d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$15,210
Vol: $595,606

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
409W / 859L events
Realized PnL
$15,210
Win Rate
32%
409W / 859L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,604 (0.171230652098732% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?$964
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?$940
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?$700
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?$626
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$587
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?$568
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on February 24?$523
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?$518
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?$497
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?$489

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?$-344
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?$-341

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.248
Sortino
0.661
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.139
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
9.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.1
Active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.8m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 3.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock38 trades/day — high frequency4.3 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.81
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.3%
Mid (20-55c)25.5%
High (>55c)13.2%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 9:43:50 AM19 trades$3,5064 min
12/13/2025, 10:08:05 AM2 trades$3,0072 min
2/22/2026, 12:39:14 PM15 trades$2,19421 min
3/13/2026, 10:22:47 AM4 trades$1,0583 min
2/12/2026, 1:26:03 PM3 trades$1,0185 min
7/20/2026, 12:21:55 PM3 trades$1,0134 min
10/10/2025, 10:04:28 AM4 trades$1,0001 min
10/28/2025, 5:39:01 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
10/31/2025, 3:28:25 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
2/9/2026, 1:59:43 PM2 trades$9932 min
2/12/2026, 1:41:59 PM1 trades$9880 min
5/14/2026, 2:54:55 PM15 trades$8685 min
4/1/2026, 10:03:59 AM10 trades$8085 min
5/16/2026, 3:25:31 PM33 trades$7260 min
5/8/2026, 1:09:09 PM37 trades$72012 min
2/25/2026, 12:42:06 PM3 trades$7014 min
11/10/2025, 1:52:48 PM1 trades$6330 min
5/11/2026, 3:04:26 PM19 trades$62710 min
6/14/2026, 12:40:57 PM30 trades$5979 min
5/8/2026, 9:43:18 AM18 trades$5846 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-10
12-19
01-24
02-24
03-27
05-15
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.81/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.3 / M25.5 / H13.2